事故死の確率その２

ではもっと長い期間ではどうだろうか。
１００００年まで計算してみたところ以下のようになりました。
P =

!100year 2.1409827% 0.4151445% !
P =

!200year 4.2361273% 0.8285656% !
P =

!300year 6.2864152% 1.2402704% !
P =

!400year 8.2928068% 1.650266% !
P =

!500year 10.256242% 2.0585596% !
P =

!600year 12.17764% 2.4651581% !
P =

!700year 14.057902% 2.8700687% !
P =

[More (y or n ) ?]
!800year 15.897907% 3.2732983% !
P =

!900year 17.698518% 3.6748539% !
P =

!1000year 19.460579% 4.0747425% !
P =

!1100year 21.184914% 4.4729709% !
P =

!1200year 22.872331% 4.8695462% !
P =

!1300year 24.523621% 5.2644751% !
P =

!1400year 26.139557% 5.6577644% !
P =

!1500year 27.720897% 6.0494211% !
P =

!1600year 29.26838% 6.4394518% !
P =

[More (y or n ) ?]
!1700year 30.782732% 6.8278633% !
P =

!1800year 32.264661% 7.2146623% !
P =

!1900year 33.714863% 7.5998556% !
P =

!2000year 35.134016% 7.9834497% !
P =

!2100year 36.522786% 8.3654514% !
P =

!2200year 37.881822% 8.7458672% !
P =

!2300year 39.211761% 9.1247038% !
P =

!2400year 40.513227% 9.5019676% !
P =

!2500year 41.786829% 9.8776652% !
P =

[More (y or n ) ?]
!2600year 43.033163% 10.251803% !
P =

!2700year 44.252813% 10.624388% !
P =

!2800year 45.44635% 10.995426% !
P =

!2900year 46.614334% 11.364923% !
P =

!3000year 47.757312% 11.732887% !
P =

!3100year 48.875819% 12.099323% !
P =

!3200year 49.970379% 12.464238% !
P =

!3300year 51.041505% 12.827638% !
P =

!3400year 52.089697% 13.189529% !
P =

[More (y or n ) ?]
!3500year 53.115449% 13.549918% !
P =

!3600year 54.119239% 13.908811% !
P =

!3700year 55.101538% 14.266214% !
P =

!3800year 56.062806% 14.622133% !
P =

!3900year 57.003494% 14.976575% !
P =

!4000year 57.924042% 15.329545% !
P =

!4100year 58.824881% 15.681049% !
P =

!4200year 59.706433% 16.031095% !
P =

!4300year 60.569111% 16.379687% !
P =

[More (y or n ) ?]
!4400year 61.41332% 16.726832% !
P =

!4500year 62.239454% 17.072536% !
P =

!4600year 63.047901% 17.416805% !
P =

!4700year 63.839039% 17.759645% !
P =

!4800year 64.613239% 18.101061% !
P =

!4900year 65.370863% 18.44106% !
P =

!5000year 66.112267% 18.779648% !
P =

!5100year 66.837797% 19.11683% !
P =

!5200year 67.547794% 19.452612% !
P =

[More (y or n ) ?]
!5300year 68.24259% 19.787% !
P =

!5400year 68.922511% 20.12% !
P =

!5500year 69.587875% 20.451617% !
P =

!5600year 70.238993% 20.781858% !
P =

!5700year 70.876171% 21.110728% !
P =

!5800year 71.499707% 21.438232% !
P =

!5900year 72.109893% 21.764377% !
P =

!6000year 72.707016% 22.089168% !
P =

!6100year 73.291354% 22.41261% !
P =

[More (y or n ) ?]
!6200year 73.863181% 22.73471% !
P =

!6300year 74.422766% 23.055473% !
P =

!6400year 74.97037% 23.374904% !
P =

!6500year 75.50625% 23.693009% !
P =

!6600year 76.030657% 24.009793% !
P =

!6700year 76.543837% 24.325262% !
P =

!6800year 77.046029% 24.639422% !
P =

!6900year 77.53747% 24.952277% !
P =

!7000year 78.018389% 25.263834% !
P =

[More (y or n ) ?]
!7100year 78.489011% 25.574097% !
P =

!7200year 78.949558% 25.883072% !
P =

!7300year 79.400244% 26.190764% !
P =

!7400year 79.841281% 26.497179% !
P =

!7500year 80.272876% 26.802322% !
P =

!7600year 80.69523% 27.106198% !
P =

!7700year 81.108542% 27.408813% !
P =

!7800year 81.513005% 27.710171% !
P =

!7900year 81.908808% 28.010279% !
P =

[More (y or n ) ?]
!8000year 82.296137% 28.30914% !
P =

!8100year 82.675174% 28.606761% !
P =

!8200year 83.046096% 28.903146% !
P =

!8300year 83.409076% 29.198301% !
P =

!8400year 83.764285% 29.49223% !
P =

!8500year 84.111888% 29.784939% !
P =

!8600year 84.45205% 30.076433% !
P =

!8700year 84.784929% 30.366717% !
P =

!8800year 85.110681% 30.655796% !
P =

[More (y or n ) ?]
!8900year 85.429459% 30.943674% !
P =

!9000year 85.741412% 31.230358% !
P =

!9100year 86.046685% 31.515851% !
P =

!9200year 86.345423% 31.80016% !
P =

!9300year 86.637766% 32.083287% !
P =

!9400year 86.923849% 32.36524% !
P =

!9500year 87.203807% 32.646022% !
P =

!9600year 87.477771% 32.925638% !
P =

!9700year 87.74587% 33.204094% !
P =

[More (y or n ) ?]
!9800year 88.008229% 33.481393% !
P =

!9900year 88.26497% 33.757542% !
P =

!10000year 88.516215% 34.032544% !

１００００年まで生きる場合
男性は８８．５１６２１５％の確率で死に、
女性は３４．０３２５４４％の確率で死にます。
このくらい長期間になると、かなり事故死の影響はでかいですね（汗）
女性はまだ生き残る可能性が高いですが、男性はほとんど死んでしまうという結果になりました。
事故死の主な原因が交通機関によるものであることを考えると、自動車の運転や会社への電車通勤など何かと交通機関を使用する男のほうが、事故死の可能性は圧倒的に高いということでしょうか。
交通機関を使用する際はくれぐれも気をつけましょうね。