2011ǯ02

2011ǯ022821:52õ̵ǹ3
2011ǯ022800:04ɥߤϾ夬Τʡ3
桼ߤ112档ɥߤ81档
ΥӥǥˤäƻйȾӥȯɽ
ιƭ夭ⲼͭΥɥ㤤ǤϤʤʡʡƹ㤤
桼夲ԤǾ徺⡢Ϻζ⤦åפ褦ʡ
ӥ԰¤ˤ㤤夯Τʡ
ܤιijդϤ˰ʤ˹Ԥ
ˡƸѴطλɸ򲡤
θѻؿɤǤǤ뤬ַФäƵޤ˾夬Ϥ᤿ꤹΤǡǤǤĤ٤
FRBŪ¤˾öŪˤʤäƤ롣
οʤʤäƤƤꡢɥ»ʾϤɤ˹ԤΤʡ

ɥ
[ط]
1٤μΨ9.0%ͽۤɤäƤ3ͤäͽϤ
ꎥɲô2Ƥ³»ܤǡ⤬˼3.3%3.4%äߥӥ3.4%˵ꡣ
ɲô3Ƥꤷɲôº2ƤϷ³ƤäƤ
Ψ8%ˤʤʤɲô2ƤϤʤ
ܤιijդϽ˲äƤ롣
кѡϾƤ뤬ѤϤޤƤʤ
NYʿѳ12,000ɥͻ¤ˤ徺餢ޤ껲ͤˤʤʤ

[ƥ˥ʬ]
81ߤˤƤ뤬81ǥݡȤƤ褦ư12֡21֡80椫鲡֤ˡ
83.98ߡ81.09ߤΥեܥʥå38.2%ᤷ82.19ߡ50%ᤷ82.5ߡ61.8%ᤷ82.88ߡ
ȤBȤʤҤ鲼81.09ߤˤ뤫ݥȤʤΤʡ

[ư]
ɲô2Ƥ1ưƤ뤿ᡢ2011ǯ6ޤǼΨ9%ڤ뤫ɤ򸫤ƹԤȻפ
ϥӥθǸʤ夯Ƥ
36θעFOMCĻϿƤʤΤǡɲô3ƴ¬Ф뤫ߤ褦


[ط]
ܤβ㤤η³ɽ
ECBԤΥ桼ؤΥ桼ͻۤƤ롣
ͻեƥʣţƣӣơˤγդϡAAAס
ϺΨ⡣Ȥ˹⤯ʤäƤ롣
ݥȥΨ7%Ψ9%
ݥȥʥɤιĤͭ˼β䡣
ꥷιijդ3ƼҤBB+˳ʲξ֤ˤʤä
EUεϤϸɤꡣ
԰¡
桼夲¬

[ư]
桼夲¬ΤȤΨˤʤ
桼夲¬Ǿ夲ƤơǤȤƤʡ
硼ȤͦϤ뤫
ϺιΨ⤯ơ桼ݾڤȤʤС桼㤤ʡ

ΥݥȤʡ
԰¤θˤ븶ʤΰꡢFRBɲô¤˾öŪܹĤγʲ桼԰¤ȯ˸9%ڤ꤬äС߰¤ˤʤΤǤϡ

1֤ǤϷ̤ϽФʤ⤷ʤ2ܤˤƤ뤫⡣

ݤɥɥ81󥰤̥ϡꥹ򤷤äꤷʤȡ


2011ǯ022100:08߹⡢߰¤ɤ˿ʤࡩ3
桼ߤ113Ⱦɥߤ83Ⱦ
ץȤ԰¤ϼ«˥ǥ⤬ä
ιƭ顢ʵ߲äؤΤ
ߤΰʾΤ䡢ǤƤΤ

轵Ʒкѻɸɤƥɥ뤬夬ꡢ饯ηϤDzΤɥꡣ
Υɥ㤤פǤϤʤɥ㤤ΥɥˤʤäƤ

ץ԰¤԰¤ȯŸ
桼夲¬뤫桼Ƥ롣
ݥȥιĤˤĤƺǹΨäƤꡢECBڤβǽ뤿쵤˥桼ϲꤽʤΤ

桼Υɥ¡߰¤ʤΤǡ桼κ԰¤褹Сɥ⡢߰¤ˤʤΤʡ
3θפFOMCʬȡǯߤ3Ⱦ˰쵤˾夬äꤷơ
84.0ߤȴ뤫ɤ84ݻǤ뤫ɤ򸫤褦Ȼפ
轵Ƥ

FOMCʤʬʤȤꤢ80߳Ϥʤ

ɥ
[ط]
1٤μΨ9.0%ͽۤɤäƤ3ͤäͽϤ
ꎥɲô2Ƥ³»ܤǡ⤬˼3.3%3.4%ä3.5%ǸꤵƤ롣
ɲô3Ƥꤷɲôº2ƤϷ³ƤäƤ
Ψ8%ˤʤʤɲô2ƤϤʤ
кѡϾƤ뤬ѤϤޤƤʤ
NYʿѳ12,000ɥͻ¤ˤ徺餢ޤ껲ͤˤʤʤ

[ƥ˥ʬ]
81ߤˤƤ뤬81ǥݡȤƤ褦ư12֡21֡80椫鲡֤ˡ
83.98ߡ81.09ߤΥեܥʥå38.2%ᤷ82.19ߡ50%ᤷ82.5ߡ61.8%ᤷ82.88ߡ
쥸󥹤84ߤʤΤʡʥݡ83.4ˤ83.0ǥݡȵ̣
ϣȤʤΤBȤΤ84ߤˤ뤫ɤǸˤ褦

[ư]
ɲô2Ƥ1ưƤ뤿ᡢ2011ǯ6ޤǼΨ9%ڤ뤫ɤ򸫤ƹԤȻפ
ɲô¤¤꺮³ΤFOMCǸˤ褦
36θעFOMCĻϿƤʤΤǡɲô3ƴ¬Ф뤫ߤ褦
ؿǾ夲ơͭDz褦ʴʤΤǡؿʤϲΤʡΨ3.5%夤Ƥ
84ߤ˥ȥ饤ȴʤä󥰲ä褦


[ط]
ܤβ㤤η³ɽ
ECBԤΥ桼ؤΥ桼ͻۤƤ롣
ͻեƥʣţƣӣơˤγդϡAAAס
ϺΨ⡣Ȥ˹⤯ʤäƤ롣
ݥȥΨ7%Ψ9%
ݥȥʥɤιĤͭ˼β䡣
ꥷιijդ3ƼҤBB+˳ʲξ֤ˤʤä
EUεϤϸɤꡣ
԰¡
桼夲¬

[ư]
桼夲¬ȥݥȥŷǤɤ餬
桼夲¬Ǿ夲ƤơǤȤƤʡ
硼ȤͦϤ뤫
ϺιΨ⤯ơ桼ݾڤȤʤС桼㤤ʡ

ޤޤͻҸΤ褦
߰˹ԤäƤΤϳΤʤΤǡɲäΥ󥰤Τʤ
ޤޤʡ



2011ǯ021112:25õޤ3
Ǥ饤ʥɤʤˤΥޤ

󥿡ͥå(Googleޥå)õ

Googleޥåפơˤ򱣤ޤΤǡҥȤˤäõޤ

66䤢ޤ
콵֤2䤰餤ɲäƤޤ

ȤƤ

ޤܳϤŬ򱣤Ƥơˡõפ⤢ޤ

ǽŪˤϡˤäơʬʤäƤޤΤǡ47ƻܸˤBOSSݤȤˤäƥꥢǤ

ٻλˤǶŨⲦפϤޤݤƤޤ

ⲦݤȡⲦˤʤޤΤǡⲦˤʤäƤ

ʾΤ褦ʥǤ褫ääƤ


2011ǯ020700:13ɥߤϸפǤΤ2
桼ߤ112档ɥߤ82Ⱦ
ץȤ԰¤Ϥޤޤ³
轵ƷкѻɸɤƤɥ夬餺
9.4%9.0%ز줿ʪƤ15ͽۤ򲼲ä3ͤ餤á
ꥫζͻ¤Τǡꥫ䤤ʪʪ徺ƤΤǡɤʤΤ
ΨβϿŪˤɤ뤬Ȥ̵߹⡢߰¡
ץ԰¤ϤޤĤ뤫߹⡣
桼Ʊ߹⡩
ͻ²Ԥ뤫߰¡
ܴȤη軻Ταᤷ뤫߹̡
פ򸫤Ƥ⤢ޤ̵̣褦˸Ƥ
FOMCζͻ²¬ǤޤǤϾ夬ʤ褦˻פ롣

ɥ
[ط]
1٤μΨ9.0%ͽۤɤäƤ3ͤäͽϤ
ꎥɲô2Ƥ³»ܤǡ⤬˼3.3%~3.4%ä3.6%ǸꤵƤ롣
ɲô3Ƥꤷɲôº2ƤϷ³ƤäƤ
Ψ8%ˤʤʤɲô2ƤϤʤ
кѡϾƤ뤬ѤϤޤƤʤ
NYʿѳ12,000ɥͻ¤ˤ徺餢ޤ껲ͤˤʤʤ

[ƥ˥ʬ]
81ߤˤƤ뤬81ǥݡȤƤ褦ư12֡21֡80椫鲡֤ˡ
83.7ߡ80.92ߤΥեܥʥå38.2%ᤷ81.98ߡ50%ᤷ82.31ߡ61.8%ᤷ82.63ߡ
ݡ81.8~81.9ߤä褦ˤ81ߤڤưäפǾ徺
1ܤ80.92ߤˤʤä
פᤷǡ82.45ߤޤǾ徺82.31ߤ򲼲äƽͤȤʤäΤǡ쥸󥹤82.3ǷΤȤ̵Τ

[ư]
ɲô2Ƥ1ưƤ뤿ᡢ2011ǯ6ޤǼΨ9%ڤ뤫ɤ򸫤ƹԤȻפ
ץȤɲô¤¤꺮³ΤFOMCǸˤ褦
3~6θעFOMCĻϿƤʤΤǡɲô3ƴ¬ФƤ뤫2Ƥ³뤫2ѻߴ¬ޤΤƤ
ΤȤ2Ʒ³ʤΤǡɥߤ81~82ߤ򤵤ޤ褦Τʡ


[ط]
ܤβ㤤η³ɽ
ECBԤΥ桼ؤΥ桼ͻۤƤ롣
ͻեƥʣţƣӣơˤγդϡAAAס
ϺΨ⡣Ȥ˹⤯ʤäƤ롣
ݥȥΨ7%Ψ9%
ݥȥʥɤιĤͭ˼β䡣
ꥷιijդ3ƼҤBB+˳ʲξ֤ˤʤä
EUεϤϸɤꡣ
ץ԰¡

[ư]
桼ߤϸäƤ
ƥ˥ŪˤϾ徺ȥɤϽä褦ʵ롣

ɥߡ桼ߤ礹ȡ߹߰¤ɤˤưƤʤ
ü˱߰¤ˤʤȤư̵

ޤޤФˤ᤹Τʡ